Browse Predictions
Explore public, approved predictions by category.
Will **Global Real GDP growth** moderate to 3.2% or lower in 2026?
Forecasting a continued modest slowdown from the 2025 growth rate, in line with IMF projections.
Will **China's** GDP deflator (a broad measure of price change) remain negative for a full calendar year in 2026, indicating persistent deflationary pressure?
Forecasting a continuation of China's struggle with excess capacity and price decline.
Will the **Federal Reserve** appoint a new Chair in the second quarter of 2026?
Forecasting a specific transition in the leadership of the US central bank.
Will the **Global Insurance Premium** growth slow to an average of less than 2.3% in real terms in 2026?
Forecasting a contraction in insurance market growth due to macroeconomic factors like inflation and lower real incomes.
Will **India's** growth rate contribute more to the world's GDP growth than the entire **Eurozone** in 2026?
Forecasting the rising economic divergence between a rapidly growing emerging market and the developed Euro area.
Will the **Bank of Japan (BOJ)** maintain its key policy rate below 0.5% for the entirety of 2026?
Forecasting continued ultra-low interest rates in Japan despite rising global rates.
Will **Silver** price outperform both the **S&P 500 and Bitcoin** over the course of 2026?
Forecasting the breakout performance of a strategic commodity driven by solar technology and high-tech manufacturing demand.
Will the **International Monetary Fund (IMF)** warn that **global public debt** levels pose a critical threat to economic stability in 2026?
Forecasting a major alert from a global financial body regarding high sovereign debt, particularly in OECD countries.
Will the **US Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) index** briefly rise above 2.8% in the first quarter of 2026 due to tariffs or supply chain issues?
Forecasting a temporary resurgence of inflation pressure despite the broader disinflation trend.
Will **global real GDP growth** exceed 3.2% in 2026, surpassing current moderate forecasts?
Forecasting a global economic acceleration, possibly driven by widespread AI productivity gains or fiscal stimulus.
Will the **Eurozone**'s headline inflation undershoot the European Central Bank (ECB)'s 2% target for a full calendar year in 2026?
Forecasting a period of persistent low inflation, leading to more moderate policy responses by the ECB.
Will the **US Federal Reserve (Fed)** execute its final interest rate cut in 2026 (before a prolonged pause or a reversal) by the end of April?
Forecasting the timing of the end of the Fed's easing cycle in response to slowing job growth.