Will US electricity generation from Natural Gas fall below 35% of the total generation mix in any single year (2027–2030)?

The Grid's Gas Dependency

Natural gas currently supplies around 40% of US electricity and remains the critical dispatchable power source balancing the intermittent nature of renewables (simulated late 2025 context). While massive renewable capacity is being added, the surge in electricity demand, particularly from AI data centers, is creating a strong impetus for building more gas-fired capacity to meet reliability needs. The slight 'No' majority believes the immense demand for reliable power, coupled with the slow pace of battery storage and transmission buildout, will keep natural gas's share stubbornly above the 35% mark through 2030, despite strong policy efforts to decarbonize the grid.