Will US electricity generation from Coal drop below 10% of the total generation mix in any single year (2027–2030)?

The Coal Cliff

In 2024, coal supplied approximately 15% of US electricity (simulated late 2025 context). Projections show that coal-fired power will be fully retired by 2040 (Enverus) and is being rapidly replaced by solar and nuclear power. The current rate of plant closures, driven by low natural gas prices and environmental regulations, is accelerating. The 'Yes' majority reflects the high probability that this momentum, combined with aggressive state-level clean energy standards, will push coal's contribution below the 10% mark in at least one of the years between 2027 and 2030, marking a critical symbolic and practical milestone in the US energy transition.