Sports

Will Tom Aspinall lose the UFC Heavyweight Championship (by defeat, retirement, or being stripped) before December 31, 2026?

A prediction on the title reign of the current undisputed UFC Heavyweight Champion (Tom Aspinall, who won the title in June 2025 in this simulated timeline).

Yes 57%Maybe 15%No 28%

94 total votes

Analysis

The Volatile Heavyweight Crown


Tom Aspinall took the undisputed title in June 2025 (simulated) and currently faces a long line of dangerous contenders. The Heavyweight division is notoriously volatile; few champions hold the belt for extended periods without an injury or a shock knockout loss. The high 'Yes' vote reflects the statistical probability that in the course of two or three high-stakes title defenses against elite strikers and grapplers (like Ciryl Gane, Sergei Pavlovich, or a resurgent Jones/Miocic), the title will change hands before the end of 2026.

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