Politics

Will the US presidential election see a third-party candidate win by 2028?

Prediction on whether a non-Democrat/Republican candidate will win the next US presidency.

Yes 15%Maybe 2%No 83%

53 total votes

Analysis

Third-Party Candidate Winning US Presidential Election by 2028


Historically, US presidential elections have been dominated by the two-party system, but growing dissatisfaction with major parties could shift voter behavior.

Structural challenges, ballot access, and media coverage remain hurdles for third-party success. Strategic alliances or a charismatic candidate could change dynamics.

My prediction: While unlikely, a third-party candidate may impact election outcomes, but a full presidential victory by 2028 remains low probability.

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