General
Will the US federal minimum wage be raised to at least $15/hour before the end of 2028?
A politics and economics prediction on a long-stalled labor policy.
Yes 24%Maybe 20%No 56%
100 total votes
Analysis
$15 Minimum Wage: Federal Law by 2028?
The US federal minimum wage has been stuck at $7.25 since 2009. This prediction asks if it will be raised to at least $15.00/hour before the end of 2028.
State vs. Federal Action
The 'No' vote leads because legislative gridlock in Washington remains high. While many states (like California, New York, and Florida) have already surpassed the $15 mark, a federal mandate faces fierce opposition in the Senate. Without a filibuster-proof majority for the Democrats in 2026 or 2028, the status quo is likely to persist, with wage increases continuing to happen at the state and corporate level rather than via federal statute.