General
Will the US Federal Debt-to-GDP ratio officially reach 140% before the end of 2030?
An economics prediction on the trajectory of US national debt relative to its gross domestic product.
Yes 66%Maybe 5%No 29%
62 total votes
Analysis
America's Rising Debt Burden
Current projections from multiple financial bodies (simulated late 2025 context) indicate the US debt-to-GDP ratio is on a strong upward trajectory, driven by persistent deficits, increased spending, and rising interest costs. Hitting $140\%$ by 2030 is seen as highly likely under current fiscal policy and the prevailing political climate, which favors continued spending over significant cost-cutting measures. The high 'Yes' vote reflects the low confidence in the US political system to implement the necessary fiscal discipline to curb this trend.