General

Will the UN Security Council add at least one permanent member (P5 reform) or abolish the veto power of the P5 members before the end of 2030?

A geopolitics prediction on the successful, radical reform of the UN Security Council.

Yes 0%Maybe 12%No 88%

43 total votes

Analysis

The Permanent Obstacle to UN Reform


Reform of the UN Security Council (UNSC), including the expansion of permanent membership (G4 nations: Germany, Japan, India, Brazil) or the abolition of the veto power, is highly desired by most UN members. However, any such change requires an amendment to the UN Charter, which must be ratified by two-thirds of the General Assembly and all five permanent members (P5). The P5 (US, UK, France, China, Russia) have a vested interest in maintaining their veto power and influence, making it almost certain that they would block any radical reform that weakens their position. The near-unanimous 'No' vote reflects this political reality, rendering major reform by 2030 virtually impossible.

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