Will the UN establish a permanent international space traffic management body before the end of 2029?

Regulating the New Space Age

The proliferation of large satellite constellations (Starlink, Kuiper) has drastically increased the risk of collisions in Low Earth Orbit (LEO). The even split reflects the urgency versus the difficulty: 'Yes' believes the increasing threat of the Kessler Syndrome and pressure from space agencies will force the UN to overcome diplomatic hurdles and establish a binding management body by 2029. 'No' argues that national security concerns and geopolitical friction between major spacefaring nations will prevent consensus on such a powerful global regulatory body.