Politics
Will the UK hold a second Scottish independence referendum before 2030?
A prediction on UK constitutional politics and Scottish autonomy.
Yes 50%Maybe 3%No 47%
38 total votes
Analysis
Is IndyRef2 Coming Before 2030?
Political pressure in Scotland remains high, but the UK government continues to block a new referendum.
Reasons It Could Happen
A major shift in public opinion or a coalition-dependent government might allow negotiations.
Reasons It Won’t
London controls referendum authorization, and current leadership fears destabilizing the union.