Politics
Will the incumbent President of either Brazil or Mexico be successfully impeached and removed from office before the end of 2028?
A political prediction on the stability of the executive branch in two of Latin America's largest and most politically volatile democracies.
63 total votes
Analysis
Impeachment in Brazil or Mexico by 2028?
Both Brazil and Mexico have recent histories of high political tension, corruption scandals, and executive vulnerability. Brazil, in particular, has seen multiple high-profile impeachment proceedings in its recent history. In Mexico, while the process is less common, political polarization and corruption investigations create constant pressure.
The Fine Line of Political Risk
The balanced 'Yes' and 'No' vote reflects the high risk inherent in Latin American politics. While impeachment is a structurally difficult and politically complex process, the combined probability across two major, historically volatile nations makes the 50/50 chance a fair assessment. All that is required is a major scandal and a shift in legislative alliances in one of the two countries before the end of 2028.