Will the global price of carbon fiber composites decrease by 30% from its 2025 average before the end of 2028?

The Affordable Composite: 30% Price Drop for Carbon Fiber by 2028

Carbon fiber reinforced polymers (CFRPs) offer superior strength-to-weight ratios compared to traditional materials, but their high cost limits their use primarily to aerospace, high-end automotive, and specialized industrial sectors. This prediction is that the global price of carbon fiber composites will drop by 30% from its 2025 average before the end of 2028.

Mass Production and Recycling

Achieving this price reduction requires breakthroughs in two key areas:

• **Manufacturing Speed:** Traditional carbon fiber production is energy-intensive and slow. New, faster precursor materials and processing technologies are being developed for high-volume automotive and wind energy applications.
• **Recycling:** Developing cost-effective, high-quality recycling processes that can recover carbon fibers from end-of-life products will introduce a cheaper, secondary source of material into the supply chain.

The demand for lighter materials in the electric vehicle market, coupled with the need for larger, lighter wind turbine blades, is creating massive industrial pressure for cheaper carbon fiber. This commercial urgency, supported by government R&D into greener manufacturing, makes a 30% reduction by 2028 a realistic goal that would unlock new mass-market applications.