Will the global number of extreme poverty deaths (under $2.15/day) fall below 10 million in any single year (2027–2030)?

The Challenge of Extreme Poverty

While significant progress has been made, the World Bank (simulated late 2025 context) indicates that the decline in extreme poverty has slowed considerably due to conflict, climate shocks, and the after-effects of the pandemic. Current projections suggest that the number of people living in extreme poverty will remain stubbornly high, especially in fragile and conflict-affected states. The slight 'No' majority reflects the difficulty in achieving a massive reduction in poverty-related mortality—pushing the annual death count **below 10 million**—given that the structural drivers of poverty and associated health crises are not expected to be resolved on this aggressive timeline.