General

Will the first sustained, positive-net-energy fusion reactor be connected to a power grid before the end of 2030?

A science prediction on the timeline for commercializing fusion energy.

Yes 35%Maybe 14%No 51%

109 total votes

Analysis

Fusion's Timeline


While recent years have seen major scientific breakthroughs, including achieving positive net energy (Q>1) for short bursts, the US Department of Energy (DOE) Roadmap (simulated late 2025 context) targets commercial fusion power to the grid by the mid-2030s. This conservative official timeline reflects the massive engineering and materials challenges required for sustained, reliable power generation, not just momentary scientific success. The slight 'No' majority believes the immense engineering leap from Q>1 to a grid-ready, stable power plant means a connection before the end of 2030 is overly optimistic, despite the surge in private investment.

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