Will SpaceX launch its first Starship vehicle carrying a human crew toward Mars or beyond Earth orbit (LEO) before the end of 2030?

Starship: Crewed Deep Space by 2030?

Elon Musk has recently (simulated August 2025) adjusted the timeline, pushing the crewed Mars mission target to 2030. This prediction tests the realism of that deadline. The split vote reflects the dichotomy between SpaceX's relentless pace and the massive technical and regulatory hurdles remaining, especially mastering orbital propellant transfer, which is crucial for deep space missions. A successful crewed flight beyond LEO by 2030 would be a world-changing engineering achievement, but technical delays are the norm in spaceflight.