Will more than 60% of all new commercial aircraft ordered globally be narrow-body jets (e.g., A320/737) in any year (2027–2030)?

The Unstoppable Single-Aisle

Narrow-body aircraft (Airbus A320 family, Boeing 737 family) are the workhorses of the global aviation industry, designed for short-to-medium haul routes. They are cheaper to operate, more fuel-efficient, and easier to fill than wide-body jets. Historically, they account for roughly 65% to 75% of all new aircraft orders (simulated late 2025 context). The overwhelming 90% 'Yes' consensus is driven by massive backlogs (often over 10,000 units combined for Airbus and Boeing) and the ongoing need for airlines to replace aging fleets (especially in the US and Europe). Given the sustained demand for point-to-point travel and the high operational efficiency of these planes, their share is almost certain to exceed 60% of new orders every year before 2030.