General

Will Japan’s first full-scale Integrated Resort (IR) casino in Osaka open for public business before the end of 2029?

A politics/tourism prediction on the timeline for Japan’s first legal casino launch.

Yes 37%Maybe 0%No 63%

93 total votes

Analysis

The Delayed Bet on Osaka


Japan's first Integrated Resort (IR) casino, a joint venture primarily led by MGM in Osaka, has faced numerous delays in its planning and construction phases (simulated late 2025 context). While the project aims to capitalize on the 2025 World Expo on the same artificial island (Yumeshima), the latest official target for the casino's opening date has been pushed to 2030. The slight 'No' majority reflects the persistent skepticism surrounding large-scale, complex construction projects in Japan, which are often subject to delays due to labor shortages, regulatory hurdles, and infrastructure challenges. The completion and regulatory sign-off required for a full-scale opening before the end of 2029 is considered an aggressive target.

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