General
Will Grand Theft Auto VI generate more than $1 billion in revenue within its first 24 hours of release?
Forecasting the commercial performance of the most anticipated video game of the decade against previous industry records.
25 total votes
Analysis
GTA VI: Aiming for the Billion-Dollar Day
The anticipation for Grand Theft Auto VI is unprecedented. Its predecessor, GTA V, set the current industry record by generating $800 million in its first 24 hours back in 2013. This prediction asks if the sequel will surpass the $1 billion mark in the same timeframe.
Inflation and Market Growth
The overwhelming 'Yes' vote is driven by several factors. First, the gaming market has grown significantly since 2013. Second, inflation justifies a higher base price (rumored to be $70 or potentially higher for standard editions), meaning fewer units need to be sold to hit the revenue target. With digital pre-orders and a massive installed base of PS5 and Xbox Series X/S consoles, analysts from firms like Konvoy Ventures project revenue could reach billions within the first month alone. Crossing $1 billion on day one would require selling roughly 12-14 million copies, a feat considered highly probable given the trailer's record-breaking viewership.