General
Will Argentina officially dollarize its economy and abandon the peso as its national currency before the end of 2026?
An economics and politics prediction on radical monetary reform, testing whether President Milei's most ambitious campaign promise can overcome political and practical hurdles.
79 total votes
Analysis
The Dollarization Gamble: Argentina's Monetary Revolution
President Javier Milei campaigned on dollarizing Argentina's economy as a solution to decades of high inflation and currency instability. However, implementing this policy requires overcoming massive practical challenges and political opposition.
The Implementation Mountain
The perfectly split vote reflects the enormous uncertainty. The 'Yes' vote points to Milei's determination and the desperation of Argentines after years of economic chaos. The 'No' vote emphasizes the practical impossibilities: Argentina lacks sufficient dollar reserves, the policy faces stiff opposition in Congress, and the central bank independence requirements make full dollarization by 2026 extremely challenging. This prediction truly hangs in the balance.