General
Will any G7 country officially announce a sovereign debt default before the end of 2030?
A finance prediction on the stability of major developed economies under rising debt burdens.
25 total votes
Analysis
Sovereign Stability of the G7
The Group of Seven (G7) comprises the world's largest advanced economies (US, Canada, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, UK). While several G7 nations (notably Japan and Italy) have high debt-to-GDP ratios, they issue debt in their own currencies and are supported by credible central banks, drastically lowering the risk of a formal default (IMF/World Bank, simulated late 2025 context). Default is almost exclusively a problem for developing or frontier economies. The overwhelming 'No' vote reflects the near-zero probability of any of these highly stable, reserve-currency-issuing nations announcing a formal sovereign debt default before 2030.