General
Will an NFL player at a non-quarterback position (e.g., DE, WR, T) sign a contract guaranteeing $150 million or more before the end of the 2027 season?
A sports economics prediction on the acceleration of NFL contract values for elite non-quarterback players. (Note: The current record is $108 million guaranteed).
21 total votes
Analysis
$150 Million Guaranteed for a Non-QB?
As the NFL salary cap continues its aggressive riseādriven by new TV and streaming dealsāthe market for elite defensive and skill position players will continue to explode. While T.J. Watt currently holds the record at $108 million fully guaranteed, players like Micah Parsons, Ja'Marr Chase, and Justin Jefferson are nearing massive extensions that will reset the market.
The Elite Barrier
The narrow 'Yes' majority reflects confidence in the league's financial health. To jump from $108M to $150M guaranteed is a major step, but it is plausible for an elite, generational defensive talent (like Parsons) to breach that barrier, especially if teams utilize fully guaranteed contracts to keep pace with the market and prevent holdouts, forcing the new guaranteed money threshold higher by 2027.