General
Will Amazon be forced to spin off Amazon Web Services (AWS) by US antitrust regulators before the end of 2029?
A business and politics prediction on the ultimate outcome of the FTC's antitrust actions against Amazon.
55 total votes
Analysis
Amazon Breakup: AWS Spin-Off by 2029?
The FTC has targeted Amazon's business practices, securing settlements on Prime enrollment in 2025. However, the bigger question is a structural breakup. This prediction asks if Amazon will be legally forced to divest its profit engine, AWS, by 2029.
The Legal Marathon
The strong 'No' vote reflects the slow pace of US antitrust litigation. Even if a breakup were ordered by a district court, the appeals process would likely extend well beyond 2029. Furthermore, courts have historically been reluctant to order structural breakups of integrated companies. A behavioral remedy (changing business practices) is viewed as the far more likely outcome than a forced separation of the cloud and retail units.