Will a non-US nation land humans on the Moon before 2030?

The Moon Race Reignites

Several nations are sharpening their lunar ambitions with choreography that feels lifted from a new era of cosmic national pride. The Moon is no longer a symbolic milestone; it’s a precursor to deeper-space infrastructure.

Rockets are testing well, habitats are prototyping, and political motivation is steep. The key barrier remains mission certification and safety, both notoriously slow and unforgiving.

My prediction: Yes—someone steps onto lunar dust before 2030, and the geopolitical aftershocks ripple across every spacefaring agenda.