Will a 'Nintendo Switch 2' console sell more than 12 million units within its first 12 months of release?

Nintendo Switch 2: 12 Million Year One Sales?

With the successor to the Switch expected to launch in 2026, this prediction asks if it will sell over 12 million units in its first year.

Demand Meets Supply

The overwhelming 'Yes' vote assumes Nintendo has learned from the past. The original Switch sold roughly 15 million in its first year. Given the massive, retained install base and the likely backward compatibility of the new device, demand will be astronomical. Unlike the PS5 launch, supply chain reports indicate Nintendo is stockpiling inventory to avoid shortages. Barring a manufacturing disaster, clearing 12 million units is a conservative estimate for the most anticipated gaming hardware of the decade.