Will a major G7 nation national election (Presidential or General) result in a single party winning a majority of seats with less than 35% of the popular vote before 2028?

G7 Election: Majority of Seats with <35% Popular Vote by 2028

This prediction highlights the potential for extreme disproportionality in G7 nations that use non-proportional voting systems (like the UK, Canada, and the US). It states that a national election in a G7 country will result in a **single party winning a parliamentary/congressional majority** of seats with less than **35% of the total national popular vote** before the end of 2028.

The Fragmentation Effect

The high **'Yes'** vote is rooted in:

• **Political Fragmentation:** The rise of multiple smaller parties (especially in the UK or Canada) splitting the vote, allowing the leading party to win many seats with a mere plurality.
• **Geographic Concentration:** A party's vote being highly efficient, clustered in key districts, minimizing 'wasted' votes.

The 35% threshold is low, but historically achievable in fragmented, First-Past-the-Post systems, which reward geographic efficiency over broad national popularity.