Will a major G7 country announce a mandate or ban that effectively prohibits the sale of new passenger vehicles that are not zero-emission by the end of 2028?

The 2035 Deadline Acceleration

Several G7 nations (including the UK, France, and Canada) have already set non-binding or target dates for ending the sale of new internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles, typically around 2035. However, the prediction asks for an effective prohibition or mandate before the end of 2028. The majority 'Yes' vote is based on two key factors: 1) the increasing urgency of climate targets; and 2) the rapid market penetration of affordable EVs, which makes such a mandate politically feasible sooner than expected. It is highly likely that one of the G7's most environmentally progressive members (e.g., Canada or the UK) will officially bring forward their existing 2035 ban or implement a phased mandate by 2028 to lock in the EV transition.