Will a G7 nation national election result in a ruling coalition (of two or more parties) requiring a far-right or far-left party to cross the 50% threshold before 2028?

G7 Coalition: Radical Party Inclusion Necessary by 2028

In many multi-party G7 democracies (like Germany, Italy, France, Canada), governments rely on ruling coalitions. This prediction states that a national election in a G7 nation will result in a scenario where the formation of a ruling coalition (crossing the 50% majority threshold) is mathematically impossible without the inclusion of a party widely considered far-right or far-left before the end of 2028.

Political Fragmentation and Polarization

The strong 'Yes' vote reflects the accelerating political fragmentation and polarization seen across the West. Key factors include:

• **Centrist Decline:** Traditional center-left and center-right parties are losing cumulative support.
• **Niche Parties:** The rise of single-issue or geographically concentrated parties on the political fringes.
• **Tactical Barrier Breaking:** The major parties' historical 'cordon sanitaire' (refusal to work with extremist parties) becomes mathematically unsustainable.

This event would force one of the centrist blocs to compromise its principles to form a functional government, signifying a major crisis in political stability.