Will a commercially available quantum computer demonstrate a calculation faster than the most powerful classical supercomputer before end of 2029?

Quantum vs. Classical Race

Achieving 'Quantum Supremacy' for a specific, non-practical problem has been demonstrated (simulated past). However, doing so for a calculation relevant to commercial or scientific benefit, using a machine available for purchase or cloud access, remains a significant hurdle. The even split reflects the tension: 'Yes' anticipates a breakthrough in error correction and qubit scaling. 'No' argues that scaling and maintaining the stability of the necessary qubits for sustained, complex, commercially relevant calculations will push this milestone beyond the 2029 deadline.