General
Will 50% or more of new light vehicle sales in the European Union be fully electric (BEV) in the 2027 calendar year?
An automotive and environment prediction on the acceleration of the EV transition in the EU market.
Yes 33%Maybe 6%No 60%
48 total votes
Analysis
EU EV Sales: 50% BEV in 2027?
This prediction targets a $50\%$ market share for **fully electric vehicles (BEV)** among new light vehicle sales in the EU during 2027. (By late 2025, BEV share is around $20\%$ and slowing down).
The Plateau Risk
The majority 'No' vote is based on the recent slowdown in the rate of adoption. Achieving a jump from $20\%$ to $50\%$ in just two years is extremely difficult. It requires massive, immediate improvements in charging infrastructure, a significant drop in EV prices to address the mass market, and an end to consumer anxiety over range and charging availability—challenges unlikely to be fully resolved by 2027.